Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 218.633950 263.103331 318.602464 394.605717 498.740212 6.408869e+02 8.582405e+02
2025-02-02 179.679322 237.995248 322.218989 460.205708 697.998978 1.133662e+03 2.136828e+03
2025-02-09 143.338338 200.446364 290.320348 455.371763 789.738810 1.567245e+03 4.270135e+03
2025-02-16 122.635025 178.762812 273.257487 464.060462 911.103529 2.235848e+03 1.010412e+04
2025-02-23 107.419890 161.618748 257.787534 467.583827 1025.779721 3.128158e+03 2.911232e+04
2025-03-02 96.688328 149.498741 247.628042 477.366360 1169.191734 4.567530e+03 1.668003e+05
2025-03-09 88.020283 139.243237 238.231809 484.856794 1318.847438 6.773407e+03 8.362577e+07
2025-03-16 79.076324 126.971559 221.955768 468.796707 1375.484388 8.861961e+03 NaN
2025-03-23 75.145643 123.443679 223.147608 500.285827 1670.803173 1.712149e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 68.069990 112.826232 206.701476 474.878898 1677.330000 2.186257e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 63.878164 107.380170 200.956939 480.364788 1865.744879 3.955088e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 59.870136 101.804511 193.900522 479.288396 2025.503890 7.461190e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 58.300395 101.458327 200.345445 531.686622 2726.207847 1.007803e+06 NaN
2025-04-27 58.083330 104.016027 215.031198 627.437869 4318.610061 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 54.101286 97.791163 205.261037 618.834272 4769.526349 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 51.263090 93.771781 200.738520 631.969468 5719.963250 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 48.518803 89.632125 195.068952 637.353676 6696.862469 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 46.303346 86.456366 191.580056 652.482622 8217.046080 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 44.214855 83.342669 187.695301 664.112927 10033.546510 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 41.548883 78.592485 178.068788 639.212583 10391.944603 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 40.594863 77.862448 180.727547 688.181860 15557.070392 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 38.078626 73.085427 169.839874 648.623696 14926.486559 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 36.623233 70.803119 166.647217 657.131779 18558.343373 NaN NaN